The rapid offensive of the armed Syrian opposition led by
Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS – banned in Russia) on November 27, 2024 from
Idlib, which ended with the capture of Damascus on December 8, 2024 and the
fall of the Assad regime, called into question the future of the Syrian-Iranian
alliance. The article examines the prospects for relations between Syria and
Iran after the change of power in Syria. The factors strengthening the Syrian-
Iranian alliance in the context of the Syrian conflict are also discussed.
Iranian policy in Syria in the context of the war in Gaza is studied.
The evolution of Iran’s relations with regional and world powers in the
context of the Iranian-Israeli armed confrontation Syria was a key factor in the
fall of the Assad regime and the weakening of the Syrian-Iranian alliance. The
study of Iran’s initial reaction to the events in Syria made it possible to identify
the factors that undermined Iranian support for the Assad regime. The reasons
for Iran’s inability to protect the regime and keep Assad in power are shown.
Particular attention is paid to calculating the dominants of Iranian policy in
Syria in the context of the evolution of Iran’s policy in the Middle East after
the change of power in Syria.
Syria; HTS; Iran; Iraq; Shia militia; Israel; the US; Middle East.